Play The NumbersNRL ANALYTICSRound 26
ROUND 26 • UPDATED 24 AUGUST 2026

MATCH CENTRE

Every matchup gets one consistent model view: win probability, expected margin and side-by-side comparisons across PTN Power, attack, defence and form.

NRL2026Round 26PTN forecast

Brisbane Broncos

Power 64.0
VSThu 27 Aug
Suncorp Stadium

Melbourne Storm

Power 73.7
MODEL INSIGHTSTEAM STRENGTHPTN POWER
HOME WIN37%
Melbourne StormPTN PICK • BY 4.9
AWAY WIN63%
37
63
MATCHUP PROFILEGreen side has the higher rating in each category
ATTACKBRI / MEL
63.975.1
DEFENCEBRI / MEL
65.873.7
FORMBRI / MEL
62.473.2

PTN currently applies a 3.5-point home-field adjustment. This forecast does not yet fully account for named squads, late injuries or weather, so treat it as a transparent model estimate rather than certainty.

Manly Sea Eagles

Power 72.2
VSFri 28 Aug
4 Pines Park

St George Illawarra Dragons

Power 62.3
MODEL INSIGHTSTEAM STRENGTHPTN POWER
HOME WIN78%
Manly Sea EaglesPTN PICK • BY 12.1
AWAY WIN22%
78
22
MATCHUP PROFILEGreen side has the higher rating in each category
ATTACKMAN / STI
77.757.7
DEFENCEMAN / STI
79.261.6
FORMMAN / STI
63.166.7

PTN currently applies a 3.5-point home-field adjustment. This forecast does not yet fully account for named squads, late injuries or weather, so treat it as a transparent model estimate rather than certainty.

Penrith Panthers

Power 85.3
VSFri 28 Aug
CommBank Stadium

Canterbury Bulldogs

Power 76.7
MODEL INSIGHTSTEAM STRENGTHPTN POWER
HOME WIN76%
Penrith PanthersPTN PICK • BY 11.0
AWAY WIN24%
76
24
MATCHUP PROFILEGreen side has the higher rating in each category
ATTACKPEN / CBY
85.266.9
DEFENCEPEN / CBY
95.079.7
FORMPEN / CBY
77.981.8

PTN currently applies a 3.5-point home-field adjustment. This forecast does not yet fully account for named squads, late injuries or weather, so treat it as a transparent model estimate rather than certainty.

Gold Coast Titans

Power 65.7
VSSat 29 Aug
Cbus Super Stadium

South Sydney Rabbitohs

Power 76.1
MODEL INSIGHTSTEAM STRENGTHPTN POWER
HOME WIN36%
South Sydney RabbitohsPTN PICK • BY 5.5
AWAY WIN64%
36
64
MATCHUP PROFILEGreen side has the higher rating in each category
ATTACKGCT / SOU
65.883.2
DEFENCEGCT / SOU
67.373.3
FORMGCT / SOU
64.972.7

PTN currently applies a 3.5-point home-field adjustment. This forecast does not yet fully account for named squads, late injuries or weather, so treat it as a transparent model estimate rather than certainty.

Sydney Roosters

Power 85.8
VSSat 29 Aug
Allianz Stadium

Dolphins

Power 84.7
MODEL INSIGHTSTEAM STRENGTHPTN POWER
HOME WIN62%
Sydney RoostersPTN PICK • BY 4.5
AWAY WIN38%
62
38
MATCHUP PROFILEGreen side has the higher rating in each category
ATTACKSYD / DOL
81.784.3
DEFENCESYD / DOL
85.380.1
FORMSYD / DOL
89.088.3

PTN currently applies a 3.5-point home-field adjustment. This forecast does not yet fully account for named squads, late injuries or weather, so treat it as a transparent model estimate rather than certainty.

North Queensland Cowboys

Power 68.6
VSSat 29 Aug
Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Wests Tigers

Power 62.8
MODEL INSIGHTSTEAM STRENGTHPTN POWER
HOME WIN71%
North Queensland CowboysPTN PICK • BY 8.6
AWAY WIN29%
71
29
MATCHUP PROFILEGreen side has the higher rating in each category
ATTACKNQL / WST
74.064.7
DEFENCENQL / WST
67.863.1
FORMNQL / WST
63.860.2

PTN currently applies a 3.5-point home-field adjustment. This forecast does not yet fully account for named squads, late injuries or weather, so treat it as a transparent model estimate rather than certainty.

Warriors

Power 90.7
VSSun 30 Aug
Go Media Stadium

Newcastle Knights

Power 78.2
MODEL INSIGHTSTEAM STRENGTHPTN POWER
HOME WIN82%
WarriorsPTN PICK • BY 14.3
AWAY WIN18%
82
18
MATCHUP PROFILEGreen side has the higher rating in each category
ATTACKWAR / NEW
88.480.4
DEFENCEWAR / NEW
92.575.2
FORMWAR / NEW
91.778.4

PTN currently applies a 3.5-point home-field adjustment. This forecast does not yet fully account for named squads, late injuries or weather, so treat it as a transparent model estimate rather than certainty.

Parramatta Eels

Power 67.2
VSSun 30 Aug
CommBank Stadium

Cronulla Sharks

Power 83.8
MODEL INSIGHTSTEAM STRENGTHPTN POWER
HOME WIN24%
Cronulla SharksPTN PICK • BY 10.9
AWAY WIN76%
24
76
MATCHUP PROFILEGreen side has the higher rating in each category
ATTACKPAR / CRO
66.086.6
DEFENCEPAR / CRO
63.281.5
FORMPAR / CRO
70.983.6

PTN currently applies a 3.5-point home-field adjustment. This forecast does not yet fully account for named squads, late injuries or weather, so treat it as a transparent model estimate rather than certainty.